Friday, December 27, 2019

How did Montgomery County fail to attract yet another Fortune 500 HQ?

Montgomery County officials have failed yet again to attract a major corporate headquarters; the county hasn't attracted a single one in over twenty years. Fortune 500 financial services giant Schwab was looking for an escape plan from California, a state that is an economic powerhouse but seemingly doing all it can to relinquish that title. Texas, as it so often is, was the winning suitor. An excellent article in the Dallas Morning News explains why suburban paradise Westlake, Texas crushed Montgomery County in the bidding war for Schwab.

Our elected officials, and their few supporters among county residents, continue to suffer from a severe case of Lake Wobegon syndrome. With no critical press corps, massive voter fraud, and unlimited money from the local political cartel, they've been free to continue believing that every day, in every way, Montgomery County is getting better and better.

"There’s a cachet associated with Westlake," the Morning News reports. "Westlake is one of the nation’s premier suburban markets. It has great schools, great hospitals, great gated communities, a lot of celebrities, athletes and former athletes live in that area. It’s highly desirable for the types of executives and high net worth individuals that will be working on this new campus."

In contrast, Montgomery County Public Schools have steadily declined this decade, with test scores and graduation rates plunging, and a widening achievement gap. Many of the ultra-rich who don't share the radical, Neo-Communist views of the Montgomery County Council have fled to lower-tax jurisdictions in our region, tanking County revenues in the process.

Transportation and airport access remain critical to corporate relocation decisions.

"The qualitative parts of site selection that a Schwab would look at have to do with lifestyle amenities like transportation assets. Dallas also enjoys unique access to the global marketplace with major air service."

Montgomery County, on the other hand, has nation-leading traffic congestion, an incomplete highway network that County officials have openly boasted they will not complete, and no direct access to Dulles International Airport, the only airport in the region with the frequency and international destinations of flights demanded by international businesspeople.

County officials have refused to construct the new Potomac River crossing to Dulles that would provide that direct access.

Also important, according to the article, are "the relationships with local elected officials. Are they pro-growth like the folks in the Dallas are? Or do they tend to be anti-business, like elected officials in the Bay Area?"

Montgomery County is clearly in the anti-business category, as demonstrated by its rock-bottom economic development status in the region. MoCo was even whipped by Culpeper and Rappahanock counties this decade. Now that's embarrassing.

Once again, the need to be a desirable destination for millennials and Generation Z is a significant factor. "Fortunately for cities like Houston, Austin and Dallas, you have high in-migration rates of working professionals and young people."

Young professionals are avoiding Montgomery County like the plague, by comparison. MoCo shares the "out-of-control housing costs" of California, and is busy approving demolition of what affordable housing exists - with a redevelopment of Battery Lane that will deliver a net loss of affordable units being the latest.

The County Council's disastrous Nighttime Economy Task Force effort ended up destroying the nighttime economy, with 18 nightspots closing in downtown Bethesda alone in its wake. Young people are going just about anywhere but Montgomery County for nightlife, as it continues to grow its reputation as the boring and sleepy bedroom community for the booming job centers elsewhere in our region.

One new factor not really discussed before is the concern of shareholders. The Morning News reports that choosing a business-friendly HQ site like Texas or Tennessee pleases shareholders, who can expect greater profit margins as a result.

Business friendliness is especially important when the national economy goes south, the paper notes.

"There's an enormous amount of uncertainty about the economy. What the economy will look like a couple of years from now with respect to potential tax increases, regulations and uncertain trade issues.

"And that’s really bringing back a focus on the old fashioned cost-of-doing-business business climate analysis. Because states that will best weather the storm of an economic downturn are states like Texas and Florida that have pro-business policies, low taxes, fiscal restraint."

46 comments:

  1. Anonymous6:03 AM

    Why do these moco council cretins keep getting elected?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous6:31 AM

    Are you not ok with Hogan’s proposed bridge plan versus a new second bridge?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous3:28 PM

    Amazon is having problems attracting employees in Arlington, VA. The goal was to hire 400 employees by the end of 2019. Only around 200 employees have been hired by Amazon as of the end of November 2019.

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  4. 3:28: Amazon yesterday announced 400 have been hired and are already at work.

    6:31: I support Hogan's plan, but it does not substitute for the needed new Potomac crossing.

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  5. Anonymous5:40 AM

    Why do you keep claiming that the County "has no direct access to Dulles Airport"?

    Anyone who can read a map can see that is clearly false.

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  6. Anonymous6:03 AM

    "Amazon yesterday announced 400 have been hired and are already at work."

    I can't find any mention of this. Bizjournal yesterday had an article about Amazon which briefly mentioned the Arlington facility but made no mention of the number of employees hired and already at work.

    Perhaps you could link to that article?

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  7. Anonymous6:46 AM

    Amazon announcement yesterday: https://www.ecommercebytes.com/2019/12/27/amazon-tells-cities-what-theyre-missing-in-hq2-update/

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  8. Anonymous6:55 AM

    So, should the county’s goal(s) really be to strive for great gated communities, more celebrities and ex-athletes, more immigration & higher unemployment rates in order to attract more large corporations? That’s what the article suggests.

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  9. Anonymous7:16 AM

    "Westlake is a town in Denton and Tarrant Counties in the U.S. state of Texas and an upscale suburb of Fort Worth."

    Denton County, Texas: 3.2%

    Tarrant County, Texas: 3.2%

    Montgomery County, Maryland: 2.7%.

    All figures are U3 Unemployment for October 2019.

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  10. Anonymous7:45 AM

    See: https://www.bizjournals.com/washington/news/2019/12/19/amazons-hq2-finally-begins-to-take-shape-the.html

    "So far, Amazon is starting slowly with roughly 200 of the anticipated 400 HQ2 jobs for this year filled as of mid-November."

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  11. Anonymous7:54 AM

    Bethesda is more directly connected to Dulles than Amazon's "National Landing".

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  12. 7:54: LOL. You need to look at an actual map, old sport. Not directly connected at all. You can not only get to Dulles faster from HQ2 than from Bethesda, but HQ2 is literally connected to National Airport, which is also a long drive or Metro ride from Bethesda, old sport.

    7:45: That article is over a week old. See yesterday's new Amazon announcement that states 400 now working in office. Happy New Year from Jeff Bezos and the CIA.

    7:16: Unemployment rate does not reflect the number of jobs in a jurisdiction; it simply tells you how many of the folks who live there have a job. In the case of Montgomery County, which has the lowest job creation numbers in the region, most of the jobs our residents hold are outside of the county.

    6:55: Nope - the article, as I demonstrated at length above, suggests we need lower taxes, a better transportation system, direct access to Dulles Airport, better schools, to stop tearing down housing millennials live in, and to restore nightlife in the county, to name a few.

    5:40: More laughs. There is no direct access whatsoever between Montgomery County and Dulles Airport. That's why we need to build it with a new bridge between MoCo and the Dulles area.

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  13. Anonymous8:17 AM

    "Unemployment rate does not reflect the number of jobs in a jurisdiction; it simply tells you how many of the folks who live there have a job. In the case of Montgomery County, which has the lowest job creation numbers in the region, most of the jobs our residents hold are outside of the county."

    Assuming that is actually true, then why is it that so many people who have jobs in Northern Virginia, prefer to live in Montgomery County?

    "There is no direct access whatsoever between Montgomery County and Dulles Airport."

    Once again, I am trying to figure out exactly what you mean by "direct access". How is the route via the Beltway and the Dulles Access Road not "direct access"?

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  14. Anonymous8:19 AM

    "stop tearing down housing millennials live in"

    How much "housing millenialls live in" has been torn down?

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  15. Anonymous8:27 AM

    @ 8:19 AM - I think Dyer is referring to that small crappy old apartment building that used to stand on the west side of Woodmont between Hampden and Elm.

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  16. Anonymous8:30 AM

    "Restore nightlife"

    How much nightlife is there in Crystal City, Tysons Corner or Sterling?

    ReplyDelete
  17. Per Google - Pretty equal stat wise.

    from North Bethesda, MD 20852
    to Dulles International Airport
    31 min (25.1 miles)
    via I-495 W and Dulles Access Rd
    Fastest route, the usual traffic

    North Bethesda, MD 20852
    Get on I-495 W in 7
    10 min (3.0 mi)
    Follow I-495 W and Dulles Access Rd to Saarinen Cir in Dulles
    22 min (22.0 mi)
    Continue onto Saarinen Cir
    16 s (0.1 mi)
    Dulles International Airport

    VS

    from Potomac Kempo - National Landing
    to Dulles International Airport
    32 min (28.2 miles)
    via I-66 W and Dulles Access Rd
    Fastest route, the usual traffic

    This route has tolls.

    Potomac Kempo - National Landing
    Get on I-66 W from US-1 N and VA-110 N
    9 min (4.2 mi)
    Take Dulles Access Rd to Saarinen Cir in Dulles
    24 min (23.8 mi)
    Continue onto Saarinen Cir
    16 s (0.1 mi)
    Dulles International Airport

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  18. Anonymous8:57 AM

    As I indicated above @ 6:55, the article lists great gated communities, lots of celebrities & ex-athletes, lots of immigration, & resulting relatively higher unemployment as attributes that help attract such corporations. In my view, these are not inherently good attributes to strive towards.

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  19. 8:49: Try to convince an actual rush hour commuter that you can drive from Bethesda to Dulles Airport in 31 minutes. LOL. If using tolled lanes all the way on I-66, by contrast, you would likely beat the estimated time for National Landing even during rush hour.

    8:30: You obviously haven't been to Tysons recently. Nightlife there is now more lively than downtown Bethesda. Humiliating!

    8:17: The fact that people live in MoCo but work outside of MoCo is exactly one of the problems. We've become the bedroom community for booming job center elsewhere in our region. The factors that decide where to locate a corporate HQ are not the same as buying a residential home.

    8:19: A net loss in downtown Bethesda.

    8:17: By your wacky definition, you could claim "direct access" between Bethesda and the Grand Canyon. Direct access would be a single highway/road that connects Bethesda or Montgomery County to the Dulles area. No such connection currently exists.

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  20. 9:03: If "lots of immigration" was the answer, MoCo would be the job capital of the world. Please use reading skills; the article clearly lays out the major assets an area needs, which are highlighted in my article above.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Immigrants will not replace Dyer

      Delete
  21. Anonymous9:07 AM

    And Dyer's claim totally falls apart when you see just how remote are many locations WITHIN FAIRFAX COUNTY, to Dulles.

    Lorton to IAD - 34 minutes via Beltway, Dulles Access Road
    - 40 minutes via Fairfax County Parkway/VA 28

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  22. "We've become the bedroom community for booming job center elsewhere in our region."

    We always have been.

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  23. What places do have a single highway/road that connects to the Dulles area?

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  24. Anonymous9:14 AM

    "Direct access would be a single highway/road that connects Bethesda or Montgomery County to the Dulles area."

    News Flash: Building the Second Crossing Would not give "a single highway/road connecting Bethesda to Dulles". You'd have to go 10 miles north on I-270, then another 18 to get to Dulles, adding several miles over the route via the American Legion Bridge. A U-shaped route is hardly "direct access".

    The only way you could make "more direct access" from Bethesda to Dulles, would be to build a freeway along Wilson Lane towards the Beltway. That would knock 3 miles off the current route.

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  25. Anonymous9:16 AM

    Still waiting for Dyer to explain why people who have jobs in NoVa, PREFER TO LIVE in MoCo.

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  26. Anonymous9:18 AM

    Robert Dyer: "We've become the bedroom community..."

    Also Robert Dyer: "A net loss [of a dozen units of housing] in downtown Bethesda."

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  27. 9:18: They were all replaced with residential uses, just with fewer and more expensive units.

    9:16: "People who have jobs in NoVa" are not corporations searching for new HQ sites.

    9:14: You're embarrassing yourself among people who actually drive in rush hour. We do not have direct access, much less speedy access, to Dulles Airport. Or any airport. Period.

    9:11: Tysons, Prince William County, to name a few. In addition, Arlington, Fairfax and Loudoun can all quickly access Dulles without having to use the Beltway or cross state lines. There's no comparison between Virginia access and the long car trip needed from Montgomery County.

    9:07: Nope. You must be new to the area to not recognize all of the companies that left. IBM had multiple sites, Vitro in Aspen Hill, Fairchild in Germantown, etc., etc.

    9:07: Even if those times were accurate, they would still be faster than the trip from MoCo during rush hour, without question.

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  28. Anonymous9:50 AM

    The Promoting ext-Ra ordinary Innovation in Maryland's Economy (PRIME) Act of 2018 signed by Hogan on April 25, 2018 offered $6.5 billion in state and local tax cuts and another $2 billion in transportation incentives to a Fortune 100 corporation locating to Maryland. The main goal of the incentive package was to attract the Amazon HQ2 to Montgomery County. The incentive package is active until April 25, 2020. Still no takers.

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  29. Anonymous10:11 AM

    Dyer, there is something very seriously wrong with you if you cannot see that the route from downtown Bethesda to Dulles is more direct via the American Legion Bridge than via a 10-mile trip north on I-270 to the Rio Center then turning southwest to cross along the (unbuilt) "Second Crossing".

    You do not seem to understand the difference between "not congested" and "direct". The route via the American Legion Bridge is very congested at present - that's why our Council and Governor are moving to widen the approaches to the bridge. But it's still much more direct than your weird U-shaped route.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Learning_disability#By_stage_of_information_processing

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Learning_disability#By_function_impaired

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  30. Anonymous10:15 AM

    IBM is a shadow of its former self. Vitro and Fairchild no longer exist.

    You're stuck in another decade, as usual.

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  31. I've lived here since 1963, and it's been considered a "bedroom community" of the Federal government and it's contractors, whether you care to admit it or not. THE END.

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  32. 10:11: You forget that there will be Express Lanes on I-270 and the Beltway by then, unless the developers, er, NIMBYs stop them.

    You also forget that the major aerospace, tech and defense HQ campuses we would most want to attract would largely be best-suited to the I-270 corridor - meaning a future I-370 bridge would indeed be the most direct and fastest route to Dulles in the region.

    9:50: CCT, M-83 and Montrose Parkway East were all canceled over the last year. I'm not surprised there are no takers for a location with utterly failing transportation infrastructure led by tax-and-spend Neo-Communists.

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  33. its - I know better.

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  34. 10:15: Nope - I'm right here at the end of the decade in which MoCo lost out on Amazon HQ 2, Northrop, Volkswagen, Hilton Hotels, Intelsat, Gerber, Nestle, CEB, Lidl HQs, to name just a few.

    Humiliating.

    10:19: We have a lot of government workers who sleep here at night. Desirable federal defense contractors headquartered here? Not so much.

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  35. "We have a lot of government workers who sleep here at night. "
    !! That's why we're a bedroom community. !!

    bed·room com·mu·ni·ty
    noun: bedroom community; plural noun: bedroom communities

    a residential suburb inhabited largely by people who commute to a nearby city for work.

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  36. Anonymous7:17 PM

    I'm confused by what "direct" access to any airport is. If I can get in my car and drive there, isn't it direct? When does it become indirect? Is it based on the number of turns or different roads I need to take.

    Anyway, I'm a frequent flyer, living in Bethesda, and I use all 3 airports. BWI is the worst in rush-hour because 495 and 95 can both be a mess. Dulles is second worse because of the bridge crossing and then you'll have some backups on 495 just before the exit for the Dulles access road. Reagan also has the bridge crossing issue, but once across, GW parkway is usually pretty good, and plan B is to cross at Chain Bridge or at Georgetown instead.

    I still fly out of all 3, and it just depends on where I'm going. Direct to Europe and it'll be Dulles. Direct to east coast and it's usually Reagan. Direct to smaller destinations (Albuquerque anyone?) and it's BWI using Southwest. BWI also has lower direct flights to west coast, like United to SFO is usually cheaper from BWI compared to IAD.

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  37. Anonymous6:38 AM

    By Dyer's never-clearly-articulated and constantly-shifting definition, Crystal City does not have "direct access" to Dulles Airport, given that you need to use three different roads to get from one to the other - Jefferson Davis, er, Richmond Highway, I-66, and finally the Dulles Access Road. Also, Crystal City is farther from Dulles Airport than Bethesda.

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  38. Anonymous7:08 AM

    Looks like your beloved defense contractors have been paying protection money to the Taliban.

    https://www.npr.org/2019/12/28/792065458/gold-star-families-sue-defense-contractors-alleging-they-funded-the-taliban

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    Replies
    1. Woodmont’s Cousin7:48 AM

      Robert prefers soldiers who didn’t get killed or captured. Just like President Bone Spurs.

      Delete
  39. 7:48: I opposed the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, unlike George W(ar Criminal). Bush. Will the U.S. extradite Bush, et al to the Hague for trial?

    7:08: Ongoing distractions to divert attention from the CIA, which is using the cover of the Afghan war to ship drugs out of Afghanistan.

    6:38/7:17: No clue what you're babbling on about. Montgomery County does not have direct access to Dulles until we construct a new river crossing there. That's all you need to know.

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  40. Anonymous11:13 AM

    Hey, Dyer - why not just say "a direct connection between western Montgomery County and Loudoun County"? Because every other context in which you've tried to use the phrase "direct connection has completely wrong.

    I love living in downtown Bethesda, which has a more direct connection to Dulles Airport than AMZHQ2 will ever have.

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  41. Anonymous4:11 PM

    You will be able to take the silver line from Arlington to Dulles.

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  42. Anonymous5:48 PM

    @ 4:11 PM - The Silver Line does not go to Crystal City.

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  43. Anonymous8:15 PM

    Liberals destroy every city they touch

    Bethesda once a thriving community where even the richest residents could send children to public school and they could compete with every private school
    Walt Whitman BCC Walter Johnson
    Liberals have filled schools with illegals lowering SAT scores sending children of English speakers running to private schools

    Could keep doors open bc barely any crime
    Every resident now has to have security systems due to burglaries and vicious home invasions

    High taxes on corporations sending companies to low tax states like Kentucky Tennessee and Texas

    As crime become more rampant more residents stores flee

    Friendship heights storefronts now a ghostown
    Gucci Barney’s all gone

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  44. Anonymous7:34 AM

    Could have had a new start with a new biz friendly County Exec, but no, 23 % per cent of the voting masses RE elected Elrich by 30
    Plus votes. Pathetic!!

    ReplyDelete