Thursday, November 28, 2013

WASHINGTON POST EARNS ANOTHER * 4 PINOCCHIO * SCORE IN LATEST MONTGOMERY COUNTY BRT FACT CHECK

Two days ago, the Montgomery County Council unanimously approved a transit corridors master plan that includes provisions for studying a 98-mile bus rapid transit (BRT) system.

First, the good news: The plan also takes the first substantive steps toward increasing MARC commuter rail capacity on the Brunswick Line. That is a positive development, and one I strongly support.

But the aforementioned BRT system is a terrible idea, and would be a complete waste of taxpayer money. Despite some misgivings among a minority of councilmembers, all 9 of them now own BRT by voting for the plan.

I think Councilmember Marc Elrich has greatly rebounded from his out-of-character first term in office. At the time, I criticized many of his actions, such as voting for sector plans that were oversized, fail to provide the infrastructure necessary to support them, and increase urban sprawl in suburban and rural areas. But in his second term, the original Marc Elrich has reemerged. He has not only been an outspoken critic of the sector plans in this term, but more importantly, has actually voted against them.

So I give Councilmember Elrich full credit for that and other issues where, in my opinion, he has been correct. But I simply disagree with his support of BRT. Ultimately, the impact of BRT on land use - allowing dense, urban-style development in Aspen Hill, Olney, Wildwood and other definitively low-density, suburban areas - would be contrary to his stated positions on land use.

I think Councilmember Elrich is partially correct in his statement that "there is no real way forward in this county without transit." Expanding and enhancing Metrobus, Ride On, MARC and Metro will be critical in having a functioning transportation system. Light rail lines would be important additions.

But leaving out one mode altogether - highways - will continue the economic damage the county is already suffering from its failure to complete its master plan freeways.

And that's the biggest point the Washington Post obscured once again in its coverage of Tuesday's BRT vote.

Reporter Bill Turque states that the county has "little room left for big new roads." Councilmember Roger Berliner refers to county roads as "a scarce public resource."

Those statements are flatly not true.

Reasonable people can argue the merits of BRT. But there is absolutely, positively no way anyone can argue we don't have room for new roads. Rights-of-way exist today for the planned Rockville Freeway, Outer Beltway/new Potomac River crossing, M-83 Midcounty Highway Extended, and the Northern Parkway. They can be clearly defined on maps, and the land is primarily being preserved as parkland. These master plan roads were recognized as critical for the growth planned during the 1960s and 70s. All of that growth happened. And more. But the county never built the roads to support it! Et, voila, now we are all stuck in traffic.

There is also the indisputable fact that I-495, I-270 and state highways like Georgia Avenue have existing space to be widened, such as by extending the Virginia express lanes into Maryland. We have a lot of options. But our elected officials are refusing to take advantage of them. All of these things cost money, too, and a Transit-only! approach is not only radical, but destructive to the quality of life and economic development in Montgomery County.

Reducing road capacity by 33% to give BRT dedicated lanes will only worsen the gridlock.

The Post cited again the surreal argument that BRT would carry 600 more people an hour than car traffic. Not only is the math for that questionable, but that assumes big-time BRT ridership. Currently, Metro offers a rapid transit service along the MD 355 corridor now targeted for a BRT line. But 85% of commuters continue to find driving the option that meets their needs best. Why would they change to a BRT that is even slower than Metro? An empty bus cannot carry 600 more people than cars per hour.

And once again, the Post gives a lowball figure for the total cost of BRT, "1-2 billion dollars." It's actually around $5 billion, and none of these numbers take into account the Strathmore/Silver Spring Transit Center-style mishaps that could occur.

Why do council members (who themselves commute by automobile) continue to assert that they know better than their constituents when it comes to commuting in Montgomery County? And why can't the Post Co. give us the full story, and the facts on BRT?

Post/Council BRT Fact Check rating:
4 Pinocchios
"Pants on Fire"

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

I'm not for the BRT but your statement "There is also the indisputable fact that I-495, I-270 and state highways like Georgia Avenue have existing space to be widened, such as by extending the Virginia express lanes into Maryland." just isn't true. Along many segments of the Beltway in Maryland there is no room for express lanes like they've built in Virginia. Just take a look at Google Maps to see how many neighborhoods back right up to the Beltway. One of the reasons why the beltway is like a roller-coaster winding its way through is because of having to accommodate existing neighborhoods back when it was built decades ago. They had room to build express lanes in Virginia. There's no room here. Anyways, a transit solution for the beltway serves completely different purposes than the BRT.

Anonymous said...

"Currently, Metro offers a rapid transit service along the MD 355 corridor now targeted for a BRT line. But 85% of commuters continue to find driving the option that meets their needs best"

That's because it's not rapid. Saying otherwise is a straight-up lie. The concept (whether you agree or disagree it will work) is that dedicated bus lanes = rapid and will entice ridership because it will be without traffic.

I agree that won't entice people from their cars and BRT is a concept that might not translate to American culture, but please get the facts straight. It discredits your argument when you don't.

Anonymous said...

When you make unreasonable statements like "But there is absolutely, positively no way anyone can argue we don't have room for new roads." it makes it hard to have a reasonable debate with your "facts".

Robert Dyer said...

Wait a minute, you're saying subways are not rapid transit? Subways have been defined as rapid transit at least as far back as the 1960s in planning documents in cities across the country. It doesn't discredit my argument to state that rapid transit rail systems are rapid transit.

Robert Dyer said...

When the fact is that rights-of-way exist for roads, then you can say "absolutely, positively." No one can disprove these facilities are there on a Montgomery County map.

Robert Dyer said...

The most effective solution for the American Legion bridge would be to build a second Potomac River crossing, which would divert the quarter of traffic that is traveling to and from the Dulles area. Transit would not be effective for that problem.

Anonymous said...

You might take it as an "absolutely, positively" fact that rights-of-way exist for roads.

But, your "indisputable fact" that I-495 ... have existing space to be widened is false. There are no rights-of-way along the beltway in Maryland for express lanes like in Virginia. Can you imagine taking the 6 lane beltway and widening it to 12 lanes like they've done in Virginia?

When your "absolutely, positively", "indisputable" opinions become facts it's hard to have a reasonable debate with you.

Robert Dyer said...

I think it's possible to have a reasonable debate. There is no plan for express lanes in Maryland yet, so we don't even know what the configuration would be. At the same time, widening the Beltway was being discussed about 8 years ago, and the possibility of eminent domain was mentioned for areas that are constricted. My personal opinion would be to build the Rockville Freeway, and second Potomac River crossing first. With most Dulles-related traffic transferred to that, there might not be a need for express lanes. Particularly if the M-83 is built to divert Clarksburg, Germantown, Damascus and Mount Airy traffic off upper I-270.