Monday, September 24, 2018

Myth that MCPS overcrowding was driven by old SFH neighborhoods shatters

The Montgomery County Council and Montgomery County Planning Board have been caught in three huge lies in the last few weeks alone. First, new plans to redevelop two public parking lots on the eastern border of Bethesda with Chevy Chase showed more housing development than the large, green parks promised when the Council and Board approved the Bethesda Downtown Plan. Second, their promise that "smart growth" and infill development would leave single-family homes untouched was exploded when Councilmember Hans Riemer proposed a Seattle-style mixed-use rezoning of all SFH neighborhoods, which would include accessory apartments, duplexes and quadplex boarding houses. Now their false claim that overcrowding in schools comes not from the massive new developments they have approved, but from old SFH housing stock, has been shattered.

The Washington Post recently reported that, in fact, townhomes have officially surpassed single-family homes in student generation. Meaning that, no, the large single-family homes in established neighborhoods are not driving overcrowding in Montgomery County Public Schools. This information was withheld from the public by the County until it was reported by the Post.

That fact joins my previous reporting that over half of Bethesda-Chevy Chase High School's student population comes from multi-family housing. Multi-family housing is the majority of all new development being approved.
I had already debunked the fantasy that existing single-family homes in areas like Bethesda were the source of overcrowding, when I noted that family sizes in Bethesda have shrunk, not increased. The Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination drama has now led to the Post confirming my own experience growing up Catholic in Bethesda.

As I've written in the past, I could point out all of the houses on streets in the neighborhood where I grew up where large Catholic (and sometimes even non-Catholic) families with 4, 5, 6 or even 10 children lived. Most of those families are now gone, and have been replaced with the typical "1.5 or 2.5 kids" of today's "don't have lots of kids anymore!" society.

Hence, there is no way there are as many kids in these neighborhoods as there were in the 1950s-1980s. There just aren't.

But don't take my word for it. The Post on Saturday referred to this cultural phenomenon in its coverage of the Kavanaugh confirmation. "Like Kavanaugh, [Mark] Judge grew up in a Catholic Washington that formed its own social world, centered in the big old houses of Chevy Chase, Bethesda and Potomac...The big houses were perfect for large Catholic families, and the lives of kids and parents revolved around a core set of institutions - parishes such as Our Lady of Mercy in Potomac and Blessed Sacrament in upper Northwest Washington, and the private Catholic high schools within easy reach, such as St. John's College, Georgetown Visitation, Stone Ridge and Georgetown Prep."

Not only have the Council and Planning Board failed to even address the existing overcrowding of schools, and haven't even provided for the capacity needed in the Westbard and Bethesda Downtown sector plans, they are now irresponsibly proposing an even more-massive MCPS population explosion with their Seattle-esque rezoning of all County residential areas as mixed-use.

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

"Now their false claim that overcrowding in schools comes not from the massive new developments they have approved, but from old SFH housing stock, has been shattered."

I'd love to see Dyer cite a direct quote on this.

Anonymous said...

In the area around Bethesda, a new middle school (Silver Creek) opened last year, and Lynbrook ES will re-open soon.

Anonymous said...

I agree with Robert, and the whole idea of adding accessory apartments in SFH neighborhoods neglects to mention the strain it puts on parking. Look at any neighborhood zoned for multifamily housing and you see the packed streets and people jockeying to try to park near their residence. This is a bad idea.

Anonymous said...

Once again, the problem is dependence on cars, not the increase in residents by itself.

Anonymous said...

It's very common to see large groups of parents and students at apartment complexes waiting for the school bus. Even in the high rises of friendship heights.

Anonymous said...

Perhaps the simple fact that most new housing being built in the county is not in new single family homes built on large lots, but in more dense and sustainable semi-attached and attached town homes and multifamily apartment builds, means that a higher percentage of children live in new non-single family houses?

I’m not sure how you can consider this evil.

You still seem to rant on that thousands of accessory apartments will be built in the backyard of single family homes and will destroy their neighborhood. I recently read somewhere that only about 45 new accessory apartments were built in all of Montgomery County last year. Yes, perhaps more will be built if regulations are relaxed, but not anywhere near what would create a problem. You also still rant on about how thousands of existing single family home owners will tear down their houses to build duplexes and overload the neighborhood with too much density.

I remind all readers that Robert’s claim that the sky is falling is incorrect.

Roald said...

Looking forward to it!

Baloney Concrete said...

“The Washington Post recently reported that, in fact, townhomes have officially surpassed single-family homes in student generation.”

Why on Earth would you make this statement and not provide a link to the article you refer to? Do you not understand how the internet works??

Anonymous said...

Why can't you understand that multifamily housing is more sustainable than single family housing? You don't seem to understand the benefits of higher density, with more folks living in less space is a good thing.

Anonymous said...

@5:49 - Of course a big problem is cars! You have so many established SFH neighborhoods in Montgomery County, most of which aren't walkable to anything. They are not going away. Walkability is for urban centers only, which make up a very small area of Montgomery County. I know the developers and County Council want to pave everything but it's just not realistic. Adding apartments to houses in Kenwood? Not likely.

Anonymous said...

"The Council and Planning Board...are now irresponsibly proposing an even more-massive MCPS population explosion with their Seattle-esque rezoning of all County residential areas as mixed-use."

Ridiculously false.

And false regarding Seattle, too.

(17 comments, counting this one, as of 8:45 EDT. Let's see how many disappear by midnight.)

Robert Dyer said...

10:23: Sustainable by what definition? Quality of life and public health are necessary for any practice to be sustainable. Infinite growth is not sustainable.

5:46: You do realize there is an actual proposal on the table to rezone all residential neighborhoods as mixed-use, introduced to the Planning Board last week? Most definitely not "false."

7:06: You don't believe that builders will put up $1.x million duplexes (total sale $2.x million) on lots currently worth $400-900K countywide? You need a basic math course ASAP.

5:02: Reported by Katherine Shaver in your beloved Washington Post.

5:49: And how do you intend to reduce the number of cars while simultaneously building mixed-use, higher density housing in residential neighborhoods not in walking distance to Metro. Think about it.

5:17: Lynbrook is not reopening soon. It takes 4 years minimum to open a new school, and they haven't even started a process.

Local Alinsky said...

Saith Dyer:

"You do realize there is an actual proposal on the table to rezone all residential neighborhoods as mixed-use, introduced to the Planning Board last week? Most definitely not 'false.'"

Link?

"Reported by Katherine Shaver in your beloved Washington Post."

Link?

Anonymous said...

Here is Katherine Shaver's article in The Washington Post.

I will let readers judge whether Dyer is quoting Shaver accurately.